The ruling Fidesz and Christian Democrat (KDNP) parties are expected to receive most mandates at the European parliamentary elections on June 9, with another four parties standing a chance to make it to the EP, the representatives of five polling institutions said in a roundtable discussion on Thursday. Presenting their findings, heads of the Alapjogokért Központ, the Nézőpont institute, Magyar Társadalomkutató, Real-PR 93 and Századvég agreed that the runner-up was likely to be the Tisza party followed by the alliance of the Democratic Coalition (DK), the Socialists and Párbeszéd, with the radical Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) and the Two-tailed Dog party (MKKP) bringing up the rear.
Nézőpont’s head, Ágoston Sámuel Mráz, said the pollster’s survey conducted with a 1,000-strong sample between May 20 and 22, found that Fidesz-KDNP had the support of 47% of voters, while 24% supported the Tisza party, 9% the DK-Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance, and Mi Hazánk and MKKP stood at 7% each. Other parties „have no chance of getting in”, he said.
While turnout is notoriously difficult to forecast, it is expected to be similar to that of previous elections, Mráz said. The last EP election mobilised 43% of voters, while 48% turned out for the last local election, he said.
Similarly, Alapjogokért has found that the ruling parties’s support was the strongest (47%), with Tisza at 26%, the DK-Socialist-Párbeszéd group at 8%, and Mi Hazánk and MKKP at 6% each.
Gyula Juhász of Magyar Társadalomkutató cited a larger survey conducted over 3 weeks that probed the opinions of 4,000 voters, saying that the results showed Fidesz-KDNP’s „enormous” lead growing as the elections drew near, and stood at 51% at the time of polling. Meanwhile, Tisza polled at 25% DK-Socialists-Párbeszéd at 8%, while Mi Hazánk and MKKP were teetering near the parliamentary threshold, at 4-5%, he said.